Consumer Power Use

ChinaFAQs: China's Energy and Carbon Emissions Outlook to 2050

Key Points

  • A new study by Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory finds that, with a continuation of current policies, China’s energy consumption will reach a plateau before 2040 (95% of plateau level by 2030 or 2035) and its CO2 emissions will peak around 2030.
  • Many sectors will “saturate” as China reaches its maximum amounts of residential and commercial floor area, roadways, railways, appliances per household, and associated energy-intensive structural materials (iron and steel; cement) in the time period between 2030 and 2035. The result will be the slowing of energy demand growth as it becomes driven by replacement needs instead of new demand in the market.
  • The report suggests that, by continuing to strengthen the implementation of its energy efficiency policies and programs, to provide incentives to switch to less energy-intensive industries and less carbon-intensive energy supply technologies, and to innovate to improve and expand financial incentive mechanisms, China will be able to meet its goal of reducing CO2 emissions intensity by 40% to 45% below 2005 levels by 2020 as announced in the Copenhagen Accords.

Tianjin WRI Side Event 2010: Wang - Guiyang

Download from the link above “Lessons Learned from Guiyang Case”, a presentation by Renmin University’s Wang Ke, Fu Sha and WRI China Country Director Zou Ji from “Tools for a Low-Carbon Pathway in China”, WRI’s Side Event at the UNFCCC conference in Tianjin, China.

Tianjin WRI Side Event 2010: Song - GHG Capacity

Download from the link above “Building up Capacity to Support the Control of Sectoral GHG Emissions: a Case Study for the Cement Industry”, a presentation by WRI’s Song Ranping from “Tools for a Low-Carbon Pathway in China”, WRI’s Side Event at the UNFCCC conference in Tianjin, China.

Tianjin WRI Side Event 2010: Fong - Local Target Planning

Download from the link above “Building Low Carbon Provinces and Cities: Practical Tools to Support Local Target Planning”, a presentation by WRI China’s Fong Wee Kean from “Tools for a Low-Carbon Pathway in China”, WRI’s Side Event at the UNFCCC conference in Tianjin, China.

Tianjin WRI Side Event 2010: Zou Ji - Low Carbon Pathways

Download from the link above “Low Carbon Development in China: Vision, Issues, and Latest Progresses”, a presentation by WRI China Country Director Zou Ji from “Tools for a Low-Carbon Pathway in China”, WRI’s Side Event at the UNFCCC conference in Tianjin, China.

Tianjin Briefing Oct. 5, 2010: Barbara Finamore - Building Presentation

Download from the link above “From Grey to Green: Making China’s Rapid Urbanization Sustainable”, a presentation by ChinaFAQs Expert Barbara Finamore from “Coal Use in China: Future Use and Emissions Control”, A Briefing in Tianjin, China on October 5, 2010.

Struggling to Keep the Lights On

China seems finally to be emerging from a very cold spell, but not before struggling to cope with the increased energy demands associated with extreme cold. The Chinese press reported rationing of both gas and power in a number of Chinese cities and suggested the problems stemmed from coal shortages after the closure of 1000 coal mines in the past year for safety and environmental reasons.

WRI: Reporting Mechanism for Energy Consumption in Residential Buildings

For residential buildings, the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development (MOHURD) established the “Energy consumption statistical reporting mechanism of residential buildings” in 2007 to provide a comprehensive picture of residential energy consumption. This mechanism has been implemented in 23 cities, such as Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing and Harbin, and will be extended throughout the country.

Information in this reporting system is organized in three different accounting tables: a basic information table, an energy consumption table, and a centralized heating supply table. Provincial governments direct the collection of this data, and report these tables to the Provincial housing department, which submits the integrated tables to MOHURD. The figure illustrates how the reporting mechanism works.

WRI: Energy Consumption by Sector

China’s energy mix is unusually tilted toward industrial uses, and thus improvements in the industrial sector have large overall impacts.

WRI: Comparison of Chinese and U.S. Energy Statistics

Today, each Chinese citizen produces only one fifth the GHG emissions of an average American consumer, and China still has many unmet energy needs. Most Chinese have a much lower standard of living than the average American. Half the Chinese population has no access to winter heating, and most have limited access to motorized transportation. Therefore, the challenge for China in the short term is to reduce the rate of growth of its GHG emissions as it strives to meet the growing energy demands of its people.